NUTs for prediction markets

CTF-numeric.md

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+# NUT-CTF-numeric: Numeric Outcome Conditions
+
+`optional`
+
+`depends on: NUT-CTF, NUT-CTF-split-merge`
+
+---
+
+This NUT defines numeric outcome conditions where the oracle attests to a numeric value (e.g., BTC/USD price) rather than an enumerated outcome. The condition has two outcome collections — **HI** and **LO** — representing the high and low ends of a range. Both HI and LO token holders receive **proportional** redemption based on the attested value's position within the range.
+
+This follows the [Gnosis CTF scalar condition model](https://conditional-tokens.readthedocs.io/en/latest/) ([contracts](https://github.com/gnosis/conditional-tokens-contracts)) and uses [DLC digit-decomposition oracle attestation](https://github.com/discreetlogcontracts/dlcspecs/blob/master/Oracle.md) for interoperability.
+
+## HI/LO Conditions
+
+A numeric condition has exactly 2 outcome collections:
+
+- **LO**: Represents the low end of the range. LO holders profit when the attested value is near or below `lo_bound`.
+- **HI**: Represents the high end of the range. HI holders profit when the attested value is near or above `hi_bound`.
+
+The outcome collection keysets are always `["HI", "LO"]` for numeric conditions.
+
+## Payout Calculation
+
+Given range `[lo_bound, hi_bound]` and attested value `V`:
+
+```
+clamped_V = clamp(V, lo_bound, hi_bound)
+hi_payout_ratio = (clamped_V - lo_bound) / (hi_bound - lo_bound)
+lo_payout_ratio = 1 - hi_payout_ratio
+```
+
+For a face value of `amount`:
+
+- HI holder redeems: `floor(amount * hi_payout_ratio)`
+- LO holder redeems: `floor(amount * lo_payout_ratio)`
+- Dust: `amount - floor(amount * hi_payout_ratio) - floor(amount * lo_payout_ratio)` is retained by the mint.
+
+`HI + LO <= amount` always, so a single redemption never pays out more than the face value. Because `floor` is subadditive (`floor(a * r) + floor(b * r) <= floor((a + b) * r)`), splitting or consolidating proofs before redemption can only reduce a holder's payout, never increase it (see [Conservation](#conservation)).
+
+**Edge cases**:
+
+- `V <= lo_bound`: LO gets 100%, HI gets 0%
+- `V >= hi_bound`: HI gets 100%, LO gets 0%
+
+### Example
+
+Range `[0, 100000]`, attested value `V = 20000`:
+
+```
+hi_payout_ratio = (20000 - 0) / (100000 - 0) = 0.2
+lo_payout_ratio = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8
+```
+
+For 100 sats face value:
+
+- HI: `floor(100 * 0.2)` = 20 sats
+- LO: `100 - 20` = 80 sats
+
+## Condition Registration
+
+Numeric conditions are registered via the same `POST /v1/conditions` endpoint ([NUT-CTF][CTF]) with additional fields:
+
+### Request Body
+
+**Request** of `Alice`:
+
+```http
+POST https://mint.host:3338/v1/conditions
+```
+
+```json
+{
+  "threshold": 1,
+  "tags": [["description", "BTC/USD price on 2025-07-01"]],
+  "announcements": [
+    "<hex-encoded TLV with digit_decomposition_event_descriptor>"
+  ],
+  "condition_type": "numeric",
+  "lo_bound": 0,
+  "hi_bound": 100000,
+  "precision": 0,
+  "collateral": "sat"
+}
+```
+
+```bash
+curl -X POST https://mint.host:3338/v1/conditions \
+  -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
+  -d '{"threshold":1,"tags":[["description","BTC/USD price"]],"announcements":["fdd824..."],"condition_type":"numeric","lo_bound":0,"hi_bound":100000,"precision":0,"collateral":"sat"}'
+```
+
+- `condition_type`: `"numeric"` (vs default `"enum"` for existing [NUT-CTF][CTF] conditions). When omitted, defaults to `"enum"`.
+- `lo_bound`: Lower bound of the range (integer)
+- `hi_bound`: Upper bound of the range (integer, MUST be > `lo_bound`)
+- `precision`: Base-10 exponent for the oracle's digit decomposition (from the DLC event descriptor). A precision of `n` means the oracle's attested digits represent a value multiplied by `10^n`. For example, precision `0` means the digits represent the value directly, precision `-2` means the digits represent cents (divide by 100).
+
+**Response** of `Bob`:
+
+```json
+{
+  "condition_id": <hex_str>
+}
+```
+
+The mint always creates the `HI` and `LO` keysets during numeric condition registration. If `default_keyset_creation` is `"none"`, a client MAY provide `outcome_collections` exactly as `["HI", "LO"]`; any other collection is invalid. If the mint advertises `"one-vs-rest"` or `"all"`, the client MUST omit `outcome_collections`. In all cases, `collateral` is required because numeric registration creates keysets.
+
+## Condition ID for Numeric Conditions
+
+Numeric conditions extend the [NUT-CTF][CTF] condition ID formula by appending market-specific parameters:
+
+```
+condition_id = tagged_hash("Cashu_condition_id",
+  sorted_oracle_pubkeys || event_id || outcome_count
+  || 0x01 || lo_bound_i64be || hi_bound_i64be || precision_i32be)
+```
+
+Where:
+
+- The first three components are identical to [NUT-CTF][CTF]
+- `0x01`: 1-byte market type indicator (`0x01` = numeric). Enum markets ([NUT-CTF][CTF]) do NOT append this byte, preserving backward compatibility.
+- `lo_bound_i64be`: `lo_bound` encoded as 8-byte big-endian signed integer
+- `hi_bound_i64be`: `hi_bound` encoded as 8-byte big-endian signed integer
+- `precision_i32be`: `precision` encoded as 4-byte big-endian signed integer
+
+`outcome_count` = 2 (always). The outcome collection keysets are always `["HI", "LO"]`.
+
+## Oracle Witness for Digit Decomposition
+
+The oracle signs individual digits per the [DLC specification](https://github.com/discreetlogcontracts/dlcspecs/blob/master/Oracle.md). The witness format extends [NUT-CTF][CTF]:
+
+```json
+{
+  "oracle_sigs": [
+    {
+      "oracle_pubkey": <hex_str>,
+      "digit_sigs": <Array[str]>
+    }
+  ]
+}
+```
+
+- `digit_sigs`: Array of 64-byte Schnorr signatures (128-char hex strings), one per digit, in left-to-right order (most significant digit first). Each signature is on the digit's UTF-8 string representation (e.g., `"2"` for digit value 2) using the corresponding R-value (nonce point) from the oracle announcement.
+- For signed numbers: the first element is a signature on `"+"` or `"-"`
+
+The witness uses `digit_sigs` (array of per-digit signatures) instead of `oracle_sig` (single signature) used in [NUT-CTF][CTF] enum conditions. The mint identifies which format to expect based on the `condition_type` of the condition referenced by the input keyset.
+
+### Verification
+
+The mint:
+
+1. Extracts the digit values from `digit_sigs` by verifying each signature against the corresponding R-value from the oracle announcement
+2. Reconstructs the numeric value from the digit values (accounting for sign and `precision`)
+3. Clamps the value to `[lo_bound, hi_bound]`
+4. Computes the payout ratio
+
+## Redemption
+
+Both HI and LO holders can redeem at `POST /v1/redeem_outcome` ([NUT-CTF][CTF]). Unlike enum conditions where only the winning outcome collection can redeem, in numeric conditions **both outcomes can redeem** with proportional amounts.
+
+### HI Holder Redemption
+
+Given attested value `V = 20000`, range `[0, 100000]`:
+
+- Input: 100 sats of HI tokens + digit witness
+- Payout ratio: `(20000 - 0) / (100000 - 0)` = 0.2
+- Output: `floor(100 * 0.2)` = 20 sats regular ecash
+- Remaining 80 sats are not issued (HI holder's loss)
+
+### LO Holder Redemption
+
+Same attestation, same range:
+
+- Input: 100 sats of LO tokens + digit witness
+- Payout ratio: `1 - 0.2` = 0.8
+- Output: `floor(100 * 0.8)` = 80 sats regular ecash
+
+### Conservation
+
+For a face value `amount`, the mint pays `floor(amount * hi_payout_ratio)` to HI and `floor(amount * lo_payout_ratio)` to LO, and retains the dust `amount - HI - LO` as mint revenue. Total payout is at most `amount`. This rule is partition-invariant: a holder cannot raise a payout by splitting or merging proofs (same-keyset [NUT-03][03] swaps) before redemption, because flooring each leg independently only reduces the sum. The mint MUST settle each leg with exact integer arithmetic; the dust is not condition collateral.
+
+## Convert (Split and Merge)
+
+The [NUT-CTF-split-merge][CTF-split-merge] `convert` operation applies to numeric conditions. For canonicalisation, a numeric condition's outcome-atom set is the fixed synthetic order `Ω = ["HI", "LO"]`, independent of the digit-decomposition oracle fields. The only outcome collections are the two single atoms `HI` and `LO`; the full set `HI|LO` is the collateral/forbidden full-set and is never a conditional keyset. Convert on a numeric condition therefore reduces to:
+
+- **Split**: Deposit collateral, receive equal amounts of HI and LO tokens (`outputs {"HI": ..., "LO": ...}`)
+- **Merge**: Surrender equal amounts of HI and LO tokens, receive collateral back (`outputs {"*": ...}`)
+
+Exact-equality conservation preserves the HI/LO face vector, so the proportional redemption above is unaffected. No other special handling is needed.
+
+## Combinatorial Markets
+
+Numeric conditions can participate in root-level [NUT-CTF-split-merge][CTF-split-merge] convert operations. Nested/combinatorial construction is out of scope for this version.
+
+## Error Codes
+
+| Code  | Description                                  |
+| ----- | -------------------------------------------- |
+| 13030 | Invalid numeric range (lo_bound >= hi_bound) |
+| 13031 | Digit signature verification failed          |
+| 13032 | Attested value outside representable range   |
+| 13033 | Payout calculation overflow                  |
+
+## Mint Info Setting
+
+The [NUT-06][06] `MintMethodSetting` indicates support for this feature:
+
+```json
+{
+  "CTF-numeric": {
+    "supported": true,
+    "max_digits": <int>
+  }
+}
+```
+
+- `supported`: Boolean indicating NUT-CTF-numeric support
+- `max_digits`: Maximum number of oracle digits the mint supports (e.g., 20). Mints SHOULD reject condition registrations where the oracle announcement specifies more digits than `max_digits`.
+
+[00]: 00.md
+[01]: 01.md
+[02]: 02.md
+[03]: 03.md
+[04]: 04.md
+[05]: 05.md
+[06]: 06.md
+[07]: 07.md
+[08]: 08.md
+[09]: 09.md
+[10]: 10.md
+[11]: 11.md
+[12]: 12.md
+[14]: 14.md
+[CTF]: CTF.md
+[CTF-split-merge]: CTF-split-merge.md